The Arab states are and will always remain divided. Jordan is actively defending Israeli airspace, Egypt is doing zero, Saudi Arabia is faking outrage, Sudanese prioritise killing each other and the Morrocains are in bed with Isreal and the US in the Western Sahara and are most probably now jointly plotting to destabilise their fellow Arabs in Algeria. So, forget it. Arabs are divided and subjugated muppets to the US just like the rest of the West and will sit back and watch the Palestinians and Lebanese being slaughtered and consider themselves just lucky it's not them.

The thing is that that logic also works both ways. The woke Western youngster's dream is certainly not about dying in super great discomfort miles away from the nearest frappuccino in some country they can't even point out on the map. The Russians know this, the Iranians know this and so do the Chinese. Even all of non-Arab Africa knows this as we now see in Niger. The interesting question is where do Indonesia and India stand? And are the Koreans and Japanese youngsters really prepared to die for America? When push comes to shove I wouldn't bet on it.

If I were a geopolitical chess player, after exploiting all the available erosion tactics, I'd know, what my next coordinated move would be. (but I'd be kicked off Medium if I wrote it here :) I guess that they are all just waiting for the right timing. But they also ought to know that the longer they wait the better prepared the West will become as now Europe is finally waking up and starting up her war economy industry to have the capacity to mass-produce drones, shells and whatever. Everything except soldiers and we don't yet have the AI and robotics to compensate for our lack of them. Next year the various time paths start crossing each other and in two-to-three years the Allegiance might have missed the momentum to terminally weaken US hegemony.