Ok, without having to understand all the details, I get that (unnecessarily) complex systems can create totally unpredictable outcomes. But would it not be good to step back and take a look at the simple basics?

US debt across all sectors* is now at 4,1x GNP...

Let's say the average interest and mortgage rates at some point hit 3%....doesn't that simply mean to service that debt the US GNP must grow with at least 4,1x3%=12,3%.....

As that is an impossible target to achieve and not servicing it makes the problem only get worse. Wouldn't the easy way out be by inflation (-6%), aka depreciation of the dollar?

And perhaps also a nice war economy? Especially before China gets too big to bully out of becoming the new reserve currency and then the shit really hits the fan.

Willem Middelkoop, therefore states that America simply cannot afford to NOT get into a war with China. To break her now the US neocons think they still can. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6nE1hnFxzw

And indeed we can see that Mainstream Media and the US government seem to be prepping the pulic for it: bashing Huawei and TikTok, forbidding Athe sale of chip-producing machines, the ridiculous shooting down of the Chinese weather balloons, etc…

* https://www.statista.com/statistics/1083150/total-us-debt-across-all-sectors/